Brazil's Section 301 Turns On Thin Commerce Nexus
Brazil's Section 301 action has a real anti-corruption hook. Its weak point is whether USTR tied that prong to a concrete burden on U.S. commerce in the record.
The United States Trade Representative has proposed a 25 percent tariff on Brazilian goods after finding that six sets of Brazilian acts, policies, and practices are unreasonable and burden or restrict United States commerce. The action is easy to read as one number attached to one country. For anyone carrying Brazil exposure, the number is the least durable part. What decides duty exposure over the litigation window is not the headline rate. It is which of the six findings can carry weight on its own if the action is challenged, and one of the six rests on comparatively thinner record support than the other five.
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