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ReadUpdated Jul 4, 2026
Analysis
Source-backed trade-policy analysis for import-scope decisions. Start from a product line, origin, supplier, or case, then move from public record to operating posture.
Published pieces71 in the archive
Current leadOrigin decision support
Evidence standardCitable public records
Primary useImport-team framing
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Topics
Origin review11 piecesUSMCA reviewAuto rules of origin+1Entry posture review18 piecesRefund postureCAPE processing+3Trade policy4 piecesPolicy monitoringMetals scope review3 piecesSection 232 metalsSection 232 copper+1Trade remedies3 piecesAD/CVD ordersPhosphate CVD ordersExport controls5 piecesLicensing regimeFDPR enforcement+1Tariff authority20 piecesSection 301 trackSection 122 surcharge+2Customs enforcement3 piecesUFLPA enforcementDe minimis administrationTrade governance3 piecesAdvisory committeeEXIM reauthorization+1
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Forced-labor action stream
USTR's Forced-Labor 301 Turns on the Test It Made for Itself
USTR's forced-labor Section 301 case is strongest on authority and weakest on method, and Switzerland is the cleanest case showing why.
The EU Approved Its Half of Turnberry, and the U.S. 15 Percent Ceiling Has Already Fragmented
The European Parliament approved the EU side of the Turnberry framework on June 16, 2026, but the United States 15 percent ceiling it was bargained against no longer runs on a single statute. After the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs, the commitment survives unevenly across a temporary Section 122 surcharge, Section 232 sector tariffs, and a proposed Section 301 forced-labor track, so EU-origin importers are now planning against a patchwork rather than a clean 15 percent cap.
