Trade-policy analysis for import-scope decisions, written from the public record. Start from a product line, origin, supplier, or case, then read what the record changes for that file.
The U.S. Affiliates Rule has a fixed revival date, while China's rare-earth exposure sits in a live licensing regime with a suspended extraterritorial layer.
A 100 percent DST tariff threat points to Section 301, but collection still needs a USTR instrument, product scope, effective date, and HTS language.
CBP's Phase 2 CAPE deployment opens the IEEPA refund path for unreconciled entries, but the refund route depends on filing CAPE before type 09.
The soybean export story rests on a contested purchase channel. The better documented record points to fertilizer costs, phosphate CVD orders, and acreage pressure.
USTR's forced-labor Section 301 case is strongest on authority and weakest on method, and Switzerland is the cleanest case showing why.
The EU has legislated its Turnberry concessions into binding Union law, while the U.S. ceiling now rests on a contested, expiring Section 122 bridge under appeal.
A Section 301 overcapacity remedy stacked on Section 232 steel would lack the IEEPA-style systemwide refund predicate and push recovery back to the entry line.
Detroit Axle's de minimis case surfaces a two-part logic that, if the CIT panel adopts it, could become a template for IEEPA actions after Learning Resources.
Section 122's surcharge sunsets July 24. The lapse removes the fixed 10 percent number India can model across non-exempt goods and shifts the fight to Section 301 and Section 232.
The 2026 USMCA review has not moved the auto rules of origin. Section 232 already made qualification decisive for a covered vehicle's tariff outcome.